You Can’t Hedge The SEC

Shout Bits often exposes government abuse that entrenches large companies’ power by blocking small competitors. While many reports focus on the disproportionate cost of complying with government paperwork and mandates, another effect of regulation is to deny small players opportunity. Regulatory structures originally intended to protect the public invariably morph into cozy protection for the largest industry players. A recent Study in the Financial Analysts Journal shows how the SEC harms small investors by denying them access to the most profitable investments.

The Study, led by finance luminaries Ibbotson and Cheng (Morningstar), thoroughly reviews the performance of hedge funds from 1995 through 2009. They concluded that in good times and bad, hedge funds outperformed mutual funds by wide margins – an annual return of over 11% on average. Not only did hedge funds outperform mutual funds, but they did so in an economically meaningful way. Investment returns are divided into two categories: Beta and Alpha. Beta is the part of total return that is due to taking market risk – simply putting money into the general market. Alpha is the part of total return that cannot be explained by the risks an investor takes and can only be explained by the investor’s brainpower. Any simpleton can build a portfolio that earns Beta returns (i.e. many index funds have betas of 1, or risk equal to the market). To earn Alpha, an investor must have insights and strategies no one else has yet employed, and for decades academics thought this was impossible. The Study found that hedge funds earned an average annual Alpha of 3.43%, while mutual funds’ average Alpha was zero or worse (a negative Alpha means the investor would be better off throwing darts at the stock pages).

What is a hedge fund, anyway? Hedge funds are surprisingly hard to define because they can be almost anything. Originally these funds would try to eliminate, or hedge, market risks and focus their bets on individual investments. Today, hedge funds pursue a huge variety of strategies which often involve short sales (bets that an investment will fall in value) or derivatives (highly leveraged bets about the future value of a security). Since the SEC largely bans short sales and derivatives in mutual funds, hedge funds are not directly available to the vast majority of US investors. While there are about $1.6 trillion in hedge funds, they are usually available only to very wealthy and certain institutional investors.

The Study shows that investors would be much better off if they had access to hedge funds, and it ends there. But what if the SEC is actually enabling rich people to earn more with their investments? The reason academics used to not believe Alpha was possible was fairly simple: once a new investment strategy becomes known, it can be mimicked until its profitability falls to that of the general market (Harry Markopolos, the Madoff whistleblower the SEC ignored for years, was unable to mimic Madoff, which proved he was a scam). If hedge fund strategies were directly available to the regular investor, rather than banned by the SEC, most, if not all of their Alpha returns would be siphoned away by mimics. With its regulations, the SEC created a protected class of investments available only to very wealthy investors, limiting the ability of mutual funds to mimic their strategies for regular investors.

The SEC bans mutual funds and many institutional investors from using hedge fund strategies because their misuse can be expensive. Derivatives and shorts can be used to limit risk and expose value, but they can also be reckless bets – just ask AIG. The SEC, like any good parent, wants to protect its children, the public, from making bad decisions. Still, the SEC thinks the very wealthy are wise enough to take these risks. As with so many regulations, the result was not the public’s protection, but an opportunity for big players to profit at the public’s expense. With their direct access to hedge funds, the rich are allowed to consistently earn more on their investments while taking less risk.

The SEC, like most of Washington, does not interact with ordinary citizens. The SEC meets with Wall Street titans and listens to their concerns. It is easy for the SEC to believe that a regular Joe cannot understand hedge fund strategies, so he must be protected. Still, every time Washington protects people from themselves, it seems to open the door for the elite to prosper at their expense. As with the rest of Washington, the SEC should stop trying be the nation’s nanny.

Pity Poor Facebook

Last Week Goldman Sachs raised $1.5 billion in a private placement of Facebook shares. Goldman is famous for its wealthy clientele and its ability to put together large deals, so selling $1.5 bln of a white hot company is no surprise. Goldman did surprise its US based customers by denying them access to the Facebook shares, and the reason behind the US exclusion may point to a bleak future for US capitalism.

To be sure, Goldman wanted to sell Facebook shares to its US clients. Goldman’s wealthy clients pay large management fees to be part of these lucrative deals, and cutting out US clients is bad for business. Likewise, the US remains a competitive investment environment and is the natural place to raise capital for a prominent US company. Goldman felt forced to shut out its US clients because of the extensive media speculation surrounding Facebook.

US law and SEC regulations prohibit brokers like Goldman from advertising the sale of securities like Facebook shares. The only permitted solicitation of investments is through a legalese document called a prospectus. Given the outright hostility toward Wall Street by the Obama Administration, Goldman feared investigation and punishment by the SEC if it sold Facebook shares in the US. Better safe than sorry, Goldman feared that the SEC might interpret the media reporting on Facebook as a form of advertising.

The good news was that Facebook raised the full $1.5 bln it sought – a very successful private placement. The bad news is that the local pawn shop could have sold the Facebook shares due to the company’s positive reputation. Without access to the US capital markets, worthy but ordinary companies might have a hard time raising the money they need to grow. The NYSE boasts about $10 trillion in market value, so access to US capital markets is a critical resource for economic growth and job creation. If Goldman’s Facebook decision becomes more common due to SEC pressures, a pillar of US economic power will be permanently damaged.

Government regulation is a sad history of disproportionately punishing small businesses and rewarding the large players that can afford compliance. The Obama Administration’s assault on capital formation is having the same effect – massive companies like Facebook can go overseas to raise capital, but smaller companies might be denied access to IPO stage capital.

The Goldman debacle shows how the SEC has chilled the capital formation process in the US. While large companies are still able to raise new equity capital, smaller ones may be out of luck. The US has among the world’s highest corporate tax rates, and now access to Wall Street capital may be in doubt. New companies and the capital required to form them have a good reason to look elsewhere for a home.

A Shockingly Ill Conceived Idea pt. II

As ShoutBits reported nine months ago, some Congressmen want to unleash an unaccountable tyrant on investors in the form an autonomous SEC. Today the New York Times has reported that, surprise, a bunch of trial lawyers are pushing this idea as hard as they can. This bill must not become law if the US is to continue to be the place where people raise capital and grow commerce.

The lawyers argue that SEC is under the capricious power of Congress to set its budget, and therefore it cannot perform its duties. If the SEC were to self-fund with the fines and fees it collects, it would better police the financial markets, implying that Congress is corrupt and too cozy with Wall Street. As officers of the law, these lawyers should know that it is Congress’s Constitutional duty to decide how public money is spent and that creating unaccountable bulldogs is not legal.

Why do a bunch of securities lawyers want the new law, and why is the NYT blog sympathizing with them? A renegade SEC that sues everyone in sight to pay its bills is the perfect partner for trial lawyers. These trial lawyers would end up doing much of the SECs work – researching and suing every security broker that makes even the slightest mistake – and earning big fees for doing so. With the SEC incented to prosecute every minor case that now is settled through cooperation, trial lawyer’s billable hours will skyrocket.

Lawyers corrupting the Federal Government to weasel more damages from business? That is business as usual. After all, Obamacare does nothing to reign in frivolous lawsuits, not even one page out of 2,600. Sarbanes-Oxley did nothing to prevent the destructive excesses of Fannie Mae, but it created a legion of new lawyers and CPAs devoted to the new regulations. Nearly every new law is an employment bill for the trial lawyers who own the Democratic Party, and Sen. Schumer’s autonomous SEC bill is no different.